Latest stories

Buffett, Gates visit UNL

B

Article on the gates / Buffett visit to University of nebraska. Some excerpts below



By Dick Piersol
Microsoft chairman Bill Gates, left, and billionaire investor Warren Buffett participate in a question and answer session with students at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln’s College of Business Administration, Friday, Sept. 30, 2005. (AP)
Lincoln Journal StarAs recollections of Tommy Lee’s visit fade like a cheap tattoo, the University of Nebraska-Lincoln refreshed its celebrity appeal on Friday with an appearance by the goalposts of capitalism.The world’s two richest beings — Microsoft chairman and chief software architect Bill Gates, a Harvard dropout, and his bridge-playing buddy Warren Buffett, the investment industry’s biggest rocker, chairman of Berkshire Hathaway and a UNL grad — communed with business students at the Lied Center.
In a two-hour question-and-answer session to be televised next year by NET, the Nebraska public television network, the wealthiest of America’s good ole boys answered unscripted questions in a relaxed setting for an audience of about 1,800, mostly students from the UNL College of Business Administration.The university warmed up and amused the audience with filmed introductions: TV’s Judge Judy adjudicated a disputed $2 bet between the two moguls she described as “elderly delinquents.” California Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger ran Buffett through enforced calisthenics. And entertainer Jimmy Buffett performed a vocal duet of “Ain’t She Sweet,” with the richer Buffett on ukulele.Then the featured guests got down to business, starting with ethics in business during challenging times, how they enforce their own sense of integrity in their organizations and ranging beyond to a variety of topics.Buffett said he sends a letter every couple of years to 40 or so Berkshire company managers to let them know they can afford to lose money but not their reputation.“I ask them how they would feel about any given action if it were to be written up in the local newspaper by a smart but pretty unfriendly reporter,” Buffett said.Nobody in the friendly audience asked about Berkshire’s latest brushes with the law, for example, the Securities and Exchange Commission’s September notice to Berkshire that the SEC is considering civil charges against Joseph Brandon, chief executive of Berkshire’s General Re, for potential violations of securities law.Questions ranged then to public policy, specifically the income tax, and whether it ought to be flattened.



One student asked what field of work the two might have chosen if they were 20 years old again.Gates answered medical science and biology. The Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation has devoted billions of dollars to solving health problems in developing nations.Buffett chose journalism, and said in a sense, he is a reporter.“I assign myself a story, what is this company worth and why?” he said. Buffett owns a big piece of the Washington Post and told the audience his parents met at the university when his father was editor of the Daily Nebraskan. His mother was the daughter of an editor.

Indian Corporates going global

I


The list of Indian companies going global is expanding rapidly. I am not referring to the IT services /BPO companies which had a global model to start with. I am referring to companies like asian paints, Tata motors, Auto component industries, Pharma companies like Ranbaxy and banks like ICICI  etc.

Clearly the factors for success in the global market would be different from those in India (more in some industries than other). It is difficult to come up with some unifying logic on the factors as each company, its market and strategy is different.

A company like asian paints is expanding in countries like Singapore, Thailand etc but avoiding the developed markets. It is leveraging its capabilities in distribution, channel management, sourcing but not extending its brands. On the other hand ICICI targeting the developed countries, but specifically Indians. It is leveraging its brands, technology etc to expand in these markets.

The common thread I have been able to see among these early globalisers is that these are successful Indian companies who are leveraging their existing capabilities into these global markets. However these companies appear to be defining their strategy clearly by identifying a niche in the global markets and attacking that niche with the distinct capabilities they already have.

For example, Ranbaxy has used its reverse engineering skills and low cost production base to attack the generics market (although some of these pharma companies are getting into drug discovery too).

Auto component companies are using the low cost and engineering talent to become the sole / preferred suppliers for Global auto companies. Another interesting point I noted was that most of Auto component companies have their own niches within the product groups.

I personally think understanding and evaluating the strategy of these companies for these Global markets would be very critical to come up with a proper valuation and a buy/ pass decision.

Any hasty / overly optimistic assumption would mean that one would end up paying for the likely growth potential with no margin of safety if the market also believes in the same thing



New section on Investment related spreadsheets

N

Over the years, to get a grip on various elements of investing, I have developed several spreadsheets. Some of these spreadsheets are for screening investment ideas. Some are for carrying out the valuation of a company using various mental models such as DCF (discounted cash flow, Porter’s five factor model etc).

In addition I have some spreadsheets where I try to value the entire market (Sensex or Nifty). I have loaded one such spreadsheet in the new section I have created ‘Quantitative analysis’

In addition to get my arms around various valuation parameters such as ROE, PE, Cash flow, Competitive advantage period and how these parameters work for cyclical, growth and other kinds of companies, I have developed a separate spread sheet which has been added to the same section. This spread sheet titled ‘ROE and PE’ is more of an analysis spread sheet and throws up some obvious and some interesting conclusions.

These spreadsheets and several more which I would be posting are entirely based on my personal understanding of investment concepts and may contain errors. Please feel free to download them, read them and critique them if required. I would be glad if anyone could point out some errors in my thinking as it would help me in refining my understanding of various concepts

Subscription

Enter your email address if you would like to be notified when a new post is posted:

I agree to be emailed to confirm my subscription to this list

Recent Posts

Select category to filter posts

Archives